2606004359
  • Open Access
  • Article

A Control Model for Dengue Fever in a Disease-Endemic Region

  • Emmanuel Chidiebere Duru *,   
  • Michael Chimezie Anyanwu

Received: 06 Jun 2026 | Revised: 17 Jun 2026 | Accepted: 22 Jun 2026 | Published: 08 Jul 2026

Abstract

Dengue fever is one of the life-threatening diseases transmitted by mosquitoes, specifically, the Aedes aegypti mosquitoes. It is mostly seen in the tropical regions of Africa and Asia, contributing to significant health burdens globally. Despite several efforts to control the disease and several studies in this area, the disease remains endemic in some places of the world. The increase in the endemicity of the disease is due to the increasing rate of mosquito-resistance to insecticide spray and absence of drugs for its treatment. These challenges underscore the need for researches to suggest better ways of controlling the disease. In this work, a system of nonlinear ordinary differential equations is used to model Dengue fever in a disease-endemic region. This new model incorporates vaccination, preventive measures such as use of mosquito treated bed-nets and mosquito repellent, use of insecticide spray and fogging as well as encouraging regular testing for the disease since a large proportion of infected humans are usually asymptomatic. The model is first shown to be epidemiologically and mathematically well-posed before obtaining the equilibrium points of the system as well as the control reproduction number. The conditions for local and global stability analysis of the equilibrium points of the system are established. Sensitivity analysis is also carried out to show the parameters that affect the endemicity of the disease. Numerical simulations are employed to show the effects of the proposed controls. The controls were seen to be very effective in reducing the spread of the disease and it is recommended that in any region where Dengue is endemic, employing the proposed controls can help reduce or eliminate the spread of the disease. 

References 

  • 1.

    Herdicho, F.F.; Fatmawati, F.; Alfiniyah, C.; et al. Optimal control of dengue haemorrhagic fever model by classifying sex in West Java Province, Indonesia. Sci. Rep. 2025, 15, 17127. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-01742-4.

  • 2.

    World Health Organization. Fact Sheets Dengue and Severe Dengue. 2022. Available online: https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/dengue-and-severe-dengue (accessed on 19 December 2025).

  • 3.

    Thongrungkiat, S.; Wasinpiyamongkol, L.; Maneekan, P.; et al. Natural transovarial dengue virus infection rate in both sexes of dark and pale forms of Aedes aegypti from an urban area of Bangkok, Thailand. Southeast Asian J. Trop. Med. Public Health 2012, 43, 1146–1151.

  • 4.

    Xu, Z.; Zhang, H.; Yang, D.; et al. The Mathematical modelling of the host–virus Interaction in dengue virus infection: A quantitative study. Viruses 2024, 16, 216.

  • 5.

    Ahman, Q.O.; Aja, R.O.; Omale, D.; et al. Mathematical modelling of dengue virus transmission: Exploring vector, vertical, and sexual pathways with sensitivity and bifurcation analysis. BMC Infect. Dis. 2025, 25, 999. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-025-11435-y.

  • 6.

    Yagan, A.J.C.; Jasmine, D. Mathematical modelling and its stability analysis of an SEIR model to control dengue by segregating the infective: An approach for efficient resource allocation. Indian J. Sci. Technol. 2024, 17, 1800–1812. https://doi.org/10.17485/ijst/v17i17.247.

  • 7.

    Islam, N.; Borhan, J.R.M.; Prodhan, R. Application of Mathematical Modelling: A Mathematical Model for Dengue Disease in Bangladesh. Int. J. Math. Sci. Comput. 2024, 10, 19–30.

  • 8.

    Herpa Awasthi, M. Reproductive factors of dengue and chlamydia. Glob. J. Reprod. Med. 2019, 6, 91–94. https://doi.org/10.19080/gjorm.2019.06.555695.

  • 9.

    Naaly, B.Z.; Marijani, T.; Isdory, A.; et al. Mathematical modelling of the effects of vector control, treatment and mass awareness on the transmission dynamics of dengue fever. Comput. Methods Programmes Biomed. Update 2024, 6, 100159.

  • 10.

    Dave, R.D.; Yeolekar, B.M.; Khirsariya, S.R.; et al. Fractional-Order modelling of Dengue Transmission Dynamics Using the Atangana-Baleanu Fractional Derivative. New Math. Nat. Comput. 2025, 9, 1–29.

  • 11.

    Zhang, H.; Lui, R. Releasing wolbachia-infected aedes aegypti to prevent the spread of dengue virus: A mathematical study. Infect. Dis. Model. 2020, 5, 142–160.

  • 12.

    Taghikhani, R.; Sharomi, O.; Gumel, A.B. Dynamical of a two-sex model for the population ecology of dengue mosquitoes in the presence of Wolbachia. Math. Biosci. 2020, 328, 108426.

  • 13.

    Ndii, M.Z. The effects of vaccination, vector controls and media on dengue transmission dynamics with a seasonally varying mosquito population. Results Phys. 2022, 34, 105298.

  • 14.

    Aldila, D.; Ndii, M.Z.; Anggriani, N.; et al. Impact of social awareness, case detection, and hospital capacity on dengue eradication in Jakarta: A mathematical model approach. Alex. Eng. J. 2023, 64, 691–707.

  • 15.

    Abidemi, A.; Fatmawati, O.; Peter, O.J. An optimal control model for dengue dynamics with asymptomatic, isolation, and vigilant compartments. Decis. Anal. 2024, 10, 100413.

  • 16.

    Aguiar, M.; Anam, V.; Blyuss, K.B.; et al. Mathematical models for dengue fever epidemiology: A 10-year systematic review. Phys. Life Rev. 2022, 40, 65–92.

  • 17.

    Ogunlade, S.T.; Meehan, M.T.; Adekunle, A.I.; et al. A systematic review of mathematical models of dengue transmission and vector control: 2010–2020. Viruses 2023, 15, 254.

  • 18.

    Alhaj, M.S. Mathematical model for dengue fever with vertical transmission and control measures: Dengue fever model. J. Math. Anal. Model. 2023, 4, 44–58.

  • 19.

    Hasan, M.R.; Alshehri, A.H.A. Dynamic vector-host dengue epidemic model with vector control and sensitivity analysis. Adv. Dyn. Syst. Appl. 2023, 18, 1–21. http://www.ripublication.com/ijde.htm. (accessed on 19 December 2025).

  • 20.

    Defterli, O. Comparative analysis of fractional order dengue model with temperature effect via singular and non-singular operators. Chaos, Solitons Fractals 2021, 144, 110654.

  • 21.

    Nyanaro, B.; Kimathi, G.; Wainaina, M. Mathematical modelling of dengue fever transmission dynamics in Kenya. J. Appl. Math. 2024, 2, 1807.

  • 22.

    Oguntolu, F.A.; Peter, O.J.; Babasola, O.; et al. Mathematical modelling on the dynamics of dengue fever with vaccination and transovarial transmission with real statistical data. Qual. Quant. 2026, 60, 6327–6368.

  • 23.

    Wardhani, R.; Widowati, W.; Sunarshih, S. Mathematical modelling of dengue haemorrhagic fever transmission: Analysis and numerical simulation. AIP Conf. Proc. 2025, 3301, 040002.

  • 24.

    Alnoor, F.; Wahbi, H.; Saadi, F.; et al. A Mathematical Model for the Dengue Fever Epidemic with Vaccination and Treatment. Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math. 2025, 18, 5815.

  • 25.

    Duru, E.C.; Anyanwu, M.C.; Mbah, G.C.E. Mathematical Analysis of a Malaria model with vaccination, treatment and vector control using Sterile-insect technique. J. Math. Anal. Model. 2025, 6, 82–106.

  • 26.

    Duru, E.C.; Anyanwu, M.C.; Mbah, G.C.E. A mathematical model to investigate the effect of misdiagnosis and wrong treatment in the co-circulation and co-infection of Malaria and Zika virus disease. Bull. Biomath. 2025, 3, 79–110.

  • 27.

    Kurniawati, A.T.; Fatmawati, F.; Chukwu, C.W.; et al. Optimal control of dengue fever model with a logistically growing human population. Math. Model. Control. 2025, 5, 48–60.

  • 28.

    Castillo-Chavez, C.; Song, B. Dynamical models of tuberculosis and their applications. Math. Biosci. Eng. 2004, 2, 361–404.

Share this article:
How to Cite
Duru, E. C.; Anyanwu , M. C. A Control Model for Dengue Fever in a Disease-Endemic Region. Applied Mathematics and Statistics 2026, 3 (2), 12. https://doi.org/10.53941/ams.2026.100012.
RIS
BibTex
Copyright & License
article copyright Image
Copyright (c) 2026 by the authors.