2509001569
  • Open Access
  • Article

The Energy Trilemma: An overview of balancing security, sustainability, and affordability

  • Irfan Khan *

Received: 26 Mar 2025 | Revised: 22 Apr 2025 | Accepted: 24 Apr 2025 | Published: 26 Apr 2025

Abstract

The global energy sector faces a complex challenge in balancing three critical dimensions: energy security, environmental sustainability, and economic affordability—commonly referred to as the energy trilemma. This paper provides a novel review of emerging trends, policies, and technological advancements that address this challenge. It particularly examines the role of top CO₂-emitting countries in navigating the energy trilemma, shedding light on their strategies and potential pathways for achieving a sustainable energy future. Findings demonstrate that these countries have achieved some success in their shift to cleaner energy systems, yet they maintain diverse approaches to policy frameworks, energy systems, and economic programs. Countries deal with specific obstacles because their economic systems combine with their energy reserves and climate agreement responsibilities. China and India remain the world's biggest growing economies, but they must keep their economies expanding while reducing their coal dependence. The United States and Canada hold substantial fossil fuel reserves, yet they must establish a strategy that aligns their home energy security requirements with worldwide climate objectives. Renewable energy development remains vigorous in Germany and Japan, yet their progress is limited by high power costs, affecting their electrical grid stability. Countries with abundant resources, including Russia, Brazil, Indonesia, and Mexico, have not effectively incorporated sustainability into their plans for energy development. The findings underscore the need for integrated policies, increased investments in renewable energy, and international cooperation to achieve a balanced energy transition.

References 

  • 1.
    Amin, S.B., Chang, Y., Khan, F., Taghizadeh-Hesary, F., 2022. Energy security and sustainable energy policy in Bangladesh: from the lens of 4As framework. Energy Policy 161, 1–29. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112719.
  • 2.
    Aye, G.C., Edoja, P.E., 2017. Effect of economic growth on CO2 emission in developing countries: evidence from a dynamic panel threshold model. Cogent Econ. Financ. 5, 1–33. doi:10.1080/23322039.2017. 1379239.
  • 3.
    Bai, B., Wang, Y., Xiong, S., Ma, X., 2021. Electric vehicle-attributed environmental injustice: pollutant transfer into regions with poor traffic accessibility. Sci. Total Environ. 756, 1–7. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.143853.
  • 4.
    Baloch, Z.A., Tan, Q., Iqbal, N., Mohsin, M., Abbas, Q., Iqbal, W., Chaudhry, I.S., 2020. Trilemma assessment of energy intensity, efficiency, and environmental index: evidence from BRICS countries. Environ. Sci. Pollut. Res. 27, 34337–34347. doi:10.1007/s11356-020-09578-3.
  • 5.
    Behera, P., Sethi, L., Sethi, N., 2024. Balancing India’s energy trilemma: assessing the role of renewable energy and green technology innovation for sustainable development. Energy 308, 1–52. doi:10.1016/j.energy.2024.132842.
  • 6.
    BioEnergyConsult, 2019. Renewable energy trends in Germany, powering a greener future. https://www.bioenergyconsult.com/renewables-germany/.
  • 7.
    Bompard, E.F., Corgnati, S.P., Grosso, D., Huang, T., Mietti, G., Profumo, F., 2022. Multidimensional assessment of the energy sustainability and carbon pricing impacts along the belt and road initiative. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 154, 1–14. doi:10.1016/j.rser.2021.111741.
  • 8.
    Cai, J., Ahmad, M., Irfan, M., Khan, I., Razzaq, A., Ahmad, M., Irfan, M., 2022. Modeling wind energy development barriers: implications for promoting green energy sector. Ener. Sources, Part B: Econ. Plan. Policy 17, 1–31. doi:10.1080/15567249.2022.2118403.
  • 9.
    CarbonBrief, 2013. Climate Rhetoric: What’s an Energy Trilemma? Carbon Br. Ltd. https://www.carbonbrief.org/climate-rhetoric-whatsan-energy-trilemma. [WWW Document]. URL: https://www.carbonbrief.org/climate-rhetoric-whats-an-energy-trilemma.
  • 10.
    Chi, Y., Esily, R.R., Ibrahiem, D.M., Houssam, N., Chen, Y., Jia, X., Zhang, X., 2023. Is North Africa region on track to energy trilemma for enhancing economic progress? the role of population growth and energy usage. Energ. Strategy Rev. 50, 1–52. doi:10.1016/j.esr.2023. 101245.
  • 11.
    China Power, 2020. How is China managing its greenhouse gas emissions? — ChinaPower Project, Chinapower.Csis.Org.
  • 12.
    Chopra, R., Magazzino, C., Shah, M.I., Sharma, G.D., Rao, A., Shahzad, U., 2022. The role of renewable energy and natural resources for sustainable agriculture in ASEAN countries: do carbon emissions and deforestation affect agriculture productivity? Resour. Policy 76, 102578. doi:10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.102578.
  • 13.
    Dong, F., Hua, Y., Yu, B., 2018. Peak carbon emissions in China: status, key factors and countermeasures-a literature review. Sustainability 10. doi:10.3390/su10082895.
  • 14.
    Grigoryev, L.M., Medzhidova, D.D., 2020. Global energy trilemma. Russ. J. Econ. 6, 437–462. doi:10.32609/j.ruje.6.58683.
  • 15.
    IEA, 2023. Energy End-uses and Efficiency Indicators Data Explorer.
  • 16.
    International Energy Agency. https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/data-tools/energy-end-uses-and-efficiency-indicators-data-explorer.
  • 17.
    Hassan, Q., Algburi, S., Sameen, A.Z., Al-Musawi, T.J., Al-Jiboory, A.K., Salman, H.M., Ali, B.M., Jaszczur, M., 2024. A comprehensive review of international renewable energy growth. Energy Built Environ. 1–103. doi:10.1016/j.enbenv.2023.12.002.
  • 18.
    International Energy Agency, 2021. Global Fuel Economy Initiative, Vehicle Fuel Economy in Major Markets 2005–2019. Internatioanl Energy Agency.
  • 19.
    IRENA, 2020. Energy Transition. International Renewable Energy Agency. https://www.irena.org/energytransition [WWW Document].
  • 20.
    Ivanovski, K., Hailemariam, A., Smyth, R., 2020. The effect of renewable and non-renewable energy consumption on economic growth: nonparametric evidence. J. Clean. Prod. 286, 124956. doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.124956.
  • 21.
    Karatayev, M., Hall, S., 2020. Establishing and comparing energy security trends in resource-rich exporting nations (Russia and the Caspian Sea region). Resour. Policy 68, 101746. doi:10.1016/j.resourpol.2020. 101746.
  • 22.
    Khan, I., Zakari, A., Zhang, J., Dagar, V., Singh, S., 2022. A study of trilemma energy balance, clean energy transitions, and economic expansion in the midst of environmental sustainability: new insights from three trilemma leadership. Energy 248, 1–11. doi:10.1016/j.energy. 2022.123619.
  • 23.
    Mej-Montero, A., Alonso-Serna, L., Altamirano-Allende, C., 2020. The role of social resistance in shaping energy transition policy in Mexico: the case of wind power in Oaxaca. The Regulation and Policy of Latin American Energy Transitions. Elsevier. p. 303–318. doi:10.1016/ B978-0-12-819521-5.00017-6.
  • 24.
    Meng, Y., Zhou, R., Dinc¸er, H., Yksel, S., Wang, C., 2021. Analysis of inventive problem-solving capacities for renewable energy storage investments. Energy Rep. 7, 4779–4791. doi:10.1016/j.egyr.2021.06.086.
  • 25.
    Ohta, H., Barrett, B., 2023. Politics of climate change and energy policy in Japan: Is green transformation likely? Earth Syst. Gov. 17, 1–41. doi:10.1016/j.esg.2023.100187.
  • 26.
    Oliver, W., 2015. World Energy Trilemma, Priority Actions on Climate Change and How to Balance the Trilemma [WWW document]. World Energy Council. URL: http://www.energypost.eu/paris-give-us-carbonpricing-give-us-market-mechanisms/%5Cnpapers3://publication/uuid/78FB5E08-73D6-4CAD-947C-10159F15BC64.
  • 27.
    Oliver, W., 2021. World Energy: Trilemma Index. World Energy Council. p. 1–3.
  • 28.
    Payne, J.E., Truong, H.H.D., Chu, L.K., Doan, B., Ghosh, S., 2023. The effect of economic complexity and energy security on measures of energy efficiency: evidence from panel quantile analysis. Energy Policy 177, 113547. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113547.
  • 29.
    Rej, S., Nag, B., 2021. Energy crossroads and prioritization of energy choices: the case of India. OPEC Energy Rev. 45, 135–158. doi:10.1111/opec.12201.
  • 30.
    Sarkodie, S.A., Strezov, V., 2019. Effect of foreign direct investments, economic development and energy consumption on greenhouse gas emissions in developing countries. Sci. Total Environ. 646, 862–871. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.07.365.
  • 31.
    Shirazi, M., 2025. Dynamic policy pathfinding for balanced growth of energy trilemma: evidence from the world’s large energy-consuming economies. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 214, 115493. doi:10.1016/j.rser.2025.115493.
  • 32.
    Song, M., Latif, M.I., Zhang, J., Omran, M., 2023. Examining the energy trilemma index and the prospects for clean energy development. Gondwana Res. 122, 11–22. doi:10.1016/j.gr.2023.06.002.
  • 33.
    Sdersten, C.J., Wood, R., Hertwich, E.G., 2018. Environmental impacts of capital formation. J. Ind. Ecol. 22, 55–67. doi:10.1111/jiec.12532.
  • 34.
    Stefano, J.Di, 2000. Energy efficiency and the environment: the potential for energy efficient lighting to save energy and reduce carbon dioxide emissions at Melbourne University, Australia. Energy 25, 823–839.
  • 35.
    Tiburcio, R.S., de Macdo, T.R., Neto, A.M.P., 2023. Brazilian Biofuels Policy (RenovaBio): Overview and generation of decarbonization credits by biodiesel production facilities. Energy for Sustainable Development. doi:10.1016/j.esd.2023.101334.
  • 36.
    Unwin, J., 2019. The oldest geothermal plant in the World. Power Technol. URL: https://www.power-technology.com/features/oldest-geothermal-plant-larderello/?cf-view.
  • 37.
    World Energy Council, 2019. World Energy Trilemma Index 2019. Trilemma Index. p. 1–79. https://www.worldenergy.org/transition-toolkit/world-energy-trilemma-index.
  • 38.
    World Energy Council, 2020a. World Energy Trilemma Index 2020. World Energy Counc. Olyver Wyman, p. 1–69. https://www.worldenergy.org/publications/entry/world-energy-trilemma-index-2020.
  • 39.
    World Energy Council, 2020b. World Energy Trilemma Index 2020, published by the World Energy Council in partnership with OLIVER WYMAN. Trilemma Index, p. 1–79.
  • 40.
    World Energy Council, 2021. World Energy Issues Monitor 2021: Humanising Energy.
  • 41.
    World, R.E., 2019. Germany: The World’s First Major Renewable Energy Economy. URL: https://www.renewableenergyworld.com/2009/04/03/germany-the-worlds-first-major-renewable-energy-economy/#gref.
  • 42.
    Yaqoob, H., Teoh, Y.H., Goraya, T.S., Sher, F., Jamil, M.A., Rashid, T., Yar, K.A., 2021. Energy evaluation and environmental impact assessment of transportation fuels in Pakistan. Case Stud. Chem. Environ. Eng. 3, 1–21. doi:10.1016/j.cscee.2021.100081.
  • 43.
    Zhao, C., Dong, K., Lee, C.C., 2024. Carbon lock-in endgame: can energy trilemma eradication contribute to decarbonization? Energy, 293, 130662. doi:10.1016/j.energy.2024.130662.
Share this article:
How to Cite
Khan, I. (2025). The Energy Trilemma: An overview of balancing security, sustainability, and affordability. Habitable Planet, 1(1&2), 56–68. https://doi.org/10.63335/j.hp.2025.0006
RIS
BibTex
Copyright & License
article copyright Image
Copyright (c) 2025 by the authors.